Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.243077 0.288641 0.339624 0.400788 0.472058 0.552364 0.649592
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.178119 0.234095 0.302676 0.392483 0.506547 0.646111 0.829293
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.134406 0.193974 0.273270 0.385664 0.539827 0.742659 1.028298
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.113242 0.178140 0.271336 0.413233 0.621707 0.914171 1.352213
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.087873 0.150516 0.247418 0.405573 0.653778 1.023876 1.611335
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.073169 0.135683 0.239275 0.419462 0.719688 1.192576 1.983080
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.061134 0.122355 0.230691 0.430828 0.783538 1.368116 2.393131
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.049797 0.107435 0.216195 0.429190 0.825332 1.514525 2.778826
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.041081 0.095283 0.204043 0.429167 0.869642 1.671483 3.205427
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035929 0.089100 0.201986 0.447752 0.951174 1.905652 3.801245
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034227 0.090054 0.214606 0.497990 1.101999 2.288031 4.720290
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030119 0.084338 0.211749 0.515224 1.189149 2.560940 5.467892
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024269 0.072916 0.194092 0.497837 1.203710 2.698536 5.981938
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019132 0.061764 0.174421 0.471700 1.194605 2.786804 6.410160
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015347 0.053153 0.158959 0.452336 1.197404 2.900856 6.909491
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013894 0.051062 0.160215 0.475620 1.305936 3.263545 7.998516
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011363 0.044681 0.147996 0.460699 1.317589 3.407985 8.619980
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010027 0.041856 0.145386 0.471677 1.397462 3.723426 9.676048
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008832 0.039114 0.142354 0.480866 1.474381 4.042686 10.782945
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007515 0.035409 0.135293 0.476507 1.513499 4.273722 11.706273
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006454 0.032315 0.129434 0.474615 1.559393 4.528645 12.722206
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005895 0.031138 0.129976 0.493593 1.669957 4.968460 14.264176
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005904 0.032531 0.140260 0.547419 1.894739 5.743903 16.769512